Zhou Xiaochuan Advocates for 100% Cash Reserves in Crypto Digital Currency

·

The rapid advancement of IT technologies—such as big data, cloud computing, network infrastructure, mobile internet, and notably blockchain—has significantly transformed the financial sector. Terms like FinTech and BigTech are increasingly common, reflecting innovations like P2P lending, crowdfunding, and electronic payments. These developments not only reshape traditional finance but also introduce new policy challenges. In late 2018, the IMF and BIS highlighted the public policy implications of BigTech in finance, emphasizing the need for adaptive regulatory frameworks.

China’s proactive stance, including the establishment of a digital currency research institute and the 2017 halt on ICOs and domestic Bitcoin trading, has drawn global attention. Understanding the rationale behind these policies requires examining core principles guiding financial regulation in the face of technological disruption.

Core Principles for Financial Policies in Technological Innovation

Finance as an Information Industry

The financial sector is fundamentally an information industry. Money, largely represented as digital entries in systems (M1 and M2), relies on data analysis for pricing and transactions. Physical trading floors have become obsolete, replaced by networks and data centers. Banks and ATMs serve as user interfaces for underlying IT systems. Institutions investing heavily in IT, like China’s major banks post-Asian financial crisis, have demonstrated superior growth. This synergy mandates close attention to IT advancements.

Supporting Innovation While Managing Uncertainty

Policymakers must balance support for innovation with tolerance for failure. Technologies often become obsolete before full deployment, as seen with China’s satellite communication initiatives in the 1980s, which were surpassed by fiber optics. Similarly, massive “disk farms” and robotic tape storage of the 1990s were quickly replaced by cloud solutions. This uncertainty necessitates a flexible approach, allowing experimentation even at the risk of wasted investment.

Critical Evaluation of Technology Proposals

Financial institutions, as major IT buyers, face aggressive marketing from tech firms promoting “revolutionary” solutions. While some innovations are genuine, others may involve exaggerated claims or even unethical practices like bribery or舆论战 (public opinion warfare). Instances of corruption in tech procurement underscore the need for vigilance. Moreover, geopolitical narratives around national security can sometimes mask protectionist agendas. Financial entities must independently assess technologies without external pressure.

Market-Led Technological Selection

Given the unpredictability of tech evolution, reliance on market mechanisms is crucial. Linear progress, as in big data and cloud computing, is more common than disruptive shifts. Government bodies, especially central banks, face significant reputational risks if their technology choices fail. Thus, fostering competitive environments where optimal solutions emerge organically is preferred over top-down selections. Historical examples like the coexistence of multiple TV standards or mobile technologies (GSM/CDMA) show how compatibility solutions often resolve format wars.

The Impact of BigTech on Financial Ecosystems

“Winner-Takes-All” Dynamics and Fair Competition

Network effects can lead to monopolistic tendencies, where companies prioritize market share over sustainability—often through “burning” venture capital to subsidize services. This mirrors dumping practices in trade, potentially distorting markets. In finance, such behavior risks systemic crises, as seen with P2P lending failures. Policies akin to WTO anti-subsidy measures may be needed to ensure fair play. Cross-subsidization, where profits from one segment fund predatory pricing in another, further complicates regulation.

Cryptocurrency Risks: Speculation and Abuse

China’s initial openness to cryptocurrency mining and trading shifted due to volatility and speculation. Retail investors, often poorly informed, faced significant risks. Technical limitations, like blockchain’s low transaction throughput (TPS), restricted scalability for payments. Meanwhile, illicit activities on dark webs—using cryptocurrencies for drugs, weapons, or money laundering—highlighted regulatory gaps. Projects like Bitcoin’s theft incidents in Japan underscored security concerns.

Policy Choices for Evolving Financial Challenges

Evolving Market and Regulatory Structures

New entrants, including unlicensed TechFin firms, challenge existing frameworks. Some avoid regulatory costs while engaging in financial activities, blurring lines between sectors. For instance, Alipay’s expansion into wealth management (Yu’e Bao) raised questions about deposit-taking and oversight. This ambiguity allows entities to “regulator shop,” seeking the most favorable rules.

Licensing and Regulatory Arbitrage

The ease of registering general companies versus obtaining financial licenses creates imbalances. While regulators aim to support innovation, licensing decisions involve complex trade-offs. Overly restrictive permits may stifle progress, whereas lax approaches risk instability. A balanced, incentive-based system—adjustable over time—is essential.

Aligning Incentives with Public Good

Many payment firms profit from interest spreads on customer funds rather than technological innovation. Policies on reserve托管 (custody) and interest rates can steer motivations toward value creation rather than rent-seeking. Preventing self-funding (自融) is critical, as misuse of client funds led to collapses like Shanghai Changgo. Strong disincentives are needed to avoid moral hazard.

Exit Strategies for Failing Entities

When firms fail, options include acquisition or liquidation. Rescues via BigTech acquisitions might perpetuate moral hazard, implying that failures will be bailed out. Instead, orderly exits—as with Shanghai Changgo’s bankruptcy—ensure accountability and market discipline. Historical precedents, like post-Asian crisis trust company resolutions, show central banks often bear costs to prevent broader contagion.

Ensuring Fair Competition

Fairness requires level playing fields: similar entities (e.g., P2P platforms vs. micro-lenders) should face comparable capital and regulatory demands. Consistent accounting standards are foundational. “Winner-takes-all” tactics must be curbed to preserve competitive diversity. While subsidies might be tolerated in non-financial sectors, their financial applications demand stricter scrutiny due to higher systemic risks.

Social Responsibility in Capital Markets

Investors, including VCs, should prioritize long-term value over speculative funding. Disclosure rules can ensure capital supports genuine innovation—not predatory subsidies. In times of abundant liquidity, ethical guidelines become even more critical.

Data Ethics and Fairness

BigTech’s data dominance raises fairness concerns. Credit scoring models must avoid biases (e.g., favoring luxury spending) and ensure transparency. Non-structured data (e.g., social media activity) requires careful handling to prevent discrimination. Public oversight of algorithms is necessary to maintain integrity. Data accuracy and rectification mechanisms are also vital, especially in decentralized systems.

Controlled Pilots and Exit Strategies

Testing new technologies like CBDCs demands controlled environments (“sandboxes”). Small-scale pilots, as in smaller nations, allow for manageable assessments. China’s size complicates rapid iterations—currency changes take years. Policies must also consider cultural factors, like gambling tendencies, that could exacerbate risks. Consumer protection is paramount.

100% Cash Reserves for Digital Currencies

Inspired by Hong Kong’s currency board model, where note issuance requires full USD backing, stablecoins should hold equivalent reserves. This prevents seigniorage abuse and ensures stability. Robust monitoring and custody rules are essential to maintain trust. Unlike volatile cryptocurrencies, stablecoins aim for value consistency, necessitating reliable mechanisms.

China’s DC/EP Approach

The PBOC’s digital currency initiative avoids pre-committing to specific technologies. Instead, it encourages market-driven innovation across account-based systems and DLT. Parallel developments and swift interoperability are key. Reserve requirements, clear exit plans, and anti-subsidy measures form core tenets. The goal is to support progress while safeguarding stability.

Frequently Asked Questions

Why are full cash reserves important for digital currencies?
Full reserves prevent issuers from profiting arbitrarily through seigniorage and ensure that digital currencies maintain stable value. This mirrors traditional currency boards, where each unit is backed by tangible assets, reducing volatility and enhancing trust.

How does China regulate BigTech’s financial activities?
China employs a mix of licensing, incentive adjustments, and strict anti-fraud measures. Regulators aim to balance innovation with stability, often requiring entities to hold capital reserves and avoid cross-subsidization. 👉 Explore regulatory strategies

What risks do cryptocurrencies pose to financial systems?
Cryptocurrencies can facilitate speculation, money laundering, and dark web transactions. Their volatility and technical limitations also threaten consumer losses. Regulatory focuses include investor protection and preventing illicit activities.

How are financial incentives aligned with ethical practices?
Policies limit profit from interest spreads and emphasize service fees. By reducing gains from customer funds, regulators encourage innovation-driven revenue. Penalties for self-funding or fraud further reinforce ethical behavior.

What is the role of sandboxes in financial innovation?
Sandboxes allow testing in controlled environments, minimizing systemic risks. They enable regulators to assess technologies before full deployment, ensuring failures don’t disrupt broader markets.

How does data usage affect financial fairness?
Biased data can lead to discriminatory practices, such as unfair credit scoring. Transparency in algorithms and public oversight help ensure models prioritize accuracy and equity over commercial gains.

In summary, technological advancements require policies that foster innovation while ensuring stability. Continuous adaptation, market-driven selection, and robust safeguards are essential for sustainable growth.