Cryptocurrency: Beyond the Hype

·

Cryptocurrency has evolved from obscurity to capturing the attention of businesses, consumers, and even central banks and regulatory authorities. Its appeal lies in its promise to provide a new mechanism of trust—one built on decentralized systems using blockchain and distributed ledger technology rather than the established credibility of commercial or central banks.

This article evaluates whether cryptocurrencies can truly function as money and examines their potential to address real-world economic challenges. It also explores the history of money, the vulnerabilities of decentralized trust models, and the broader policy implications tied to the rise of digital currencies.


A Brief History of Money

Money plays a fundamental role in facilitating economic exchange. For thousands of years before its invention, trade primarily relied on promises of future returns—essentially IOUs. As societies and economies grew, tracking these increasingly complex IOUs became difficult, and concerns about default and settlement risks grew.

To address these trust and complexity issues, money and monetary institutions emerged. Money serves three core functions:

To perform these functions effectively, money must be widely accepted and maintain stable value. Trust in its purchasing power—both present and future—is essential.

Commodity money, such as salt or grain, offered intrinsic value but proved inefficient: it was often scarce, costly to produce, difficult to transport, and sometimes perishable. As economic activity expanded, more practical forms of money were needed—ones that could scale with demand, facilitate trade, and preserve value.

However, maintaining trust in monetary systems has always been challenging. History is filled with examples of failed currencies, from stones and shells to coins and paper notes no longer accepted as mediums of exchange. Some currencies failed because they couldn’t scale; others collapsed due to political instability or eroded trust.

Whether issued by private competitors or sovereign states, money has often proven fragile. The quality of bank-issued money depends on the assets backing it, and confidence in privately issued currency can vanish overnight. Even government-backed currencies are not immune to mismanagement, as seen in historical and contemporary hyperinflation episodes.

The pursuit of reliable monetary systems eventually led to the establishment of central banks. Early public banks in European city-states provided efficient payment methods and centralized clearing and settlement processes. Over time, these evolved into the independent, accountable central banks we know today, which play a crucial role in maintaining monetary and financial stability.


The Current Monetary and Payment System

In most modern economies, money is supplied through a two-tier system involving both central banks and private commercial banks. Central bank deposits facilitate interbank payments, while commercial bank deposits are the primary means of payment for end users.

Trust in this system is upheld by independent and reliable central banks, supported by asset holdings and operational rules. Confidence in bank deposits is reinforced through regulation, supervision, and deposit insurance—often backed by the state.

Central banks also oversee payment infrastructures to ensure safety, efficiency, and finality. Today’s diversified payment systems are scalable, cost-effective, and secure, capable of handling massive transaction volumes with minimal abuse.

A useful framework for classifying money is the “money flower,” which distinguishes monetary instruments based on four attributes:

Money typically relies on one of two foundational technologies: token-based systems (e.g., cash) or account-based systems (e.g., bank deposits).


Cryptocurrencies and the Uncertain Future of Decentralized Trust

Can cryptocurrencies deliver on their promises? To answer this, we must define them clearly and understand their underlying technology and economic limitations.

A New Petal in the Money Flower

Cryptocurrencies aim to become a new form of money, promising trust through technology. They consist of three elements:

  1. A set of rules (protocol) coded in software.
  2. A ledger recording all transactions.
  3. A decentralized network of participants who update and validate the ledger.

According to the money flower framework, cryptocurrencies are:

Unlike earlier private digital currencies (e.g., in-game credits), cryptocurrencies enable transactions without a central intermediary.

Distributed Ledger Technology

A core challenge for digital peer-to-peer transactions is the “double-spending problem”—the risk that digital money could be copied and spent multiple times. Cryptocurrencies address this using distributed ledger technology (DLT).

The ledger records all transactions from the currency’s inception, and each user stores an updated copy. This allows users to verify transactions directly without a central authority.

There are two main types of DLT systems:

Bitcoin, the first permissionless cryptocurrency, introduced blockchain technology—a type of DLT where transactions are grouped into blocks linked cryptographically.

In permissionless systems, “miners” compete to update the ledger through “proof-of-work,” which requires significant computational effort and energy. Users and miners validate all updates to ensure only legitimate transactions are recorded.

The protocol also establishes rules for consensus on the order of updates, typically by incentivizing miners to follow the majority’s computational power.


Economic Limitations of Permissionless Cryptocurrencies

Cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin promise not just a new payment method but a new trust model. However, this promise rests on critical assumptions: honest miners control most computing power, users verify all transactions, and money supply is predetermined.

These assumptions lead to two major concerns:

Efficiency and Sustainability

The pursuit of decentralized trust comes at a high cost. Bitcoin mining consumes as much electricity as a medium-sized economy, raising environmental concerns. But the inefficiencies go beyond energy use.

Cryptocurrencies struggle with three monetary functions:

  1. Scalability: Each user must download and verify the entire transaction history. As the ledger grows, transaction throughput becomes limited, leading to network congestion.
  2. Value Stability: Cryptocurrency supply is protocol-defined and inflexible. Without a central authority to adjust supply based on demand, prices remain highly volatile.
  3. Trust in Finality: Payments lack certainty. Transactions can be reversed if conflicting ledger updates occur, and consensus can break down, leading to “forks” where the currency splits into competing versions.

These limitations stem from the inherent fragility of decentralized consensus and the absence of institutional support.


Beyond the Bubble: Potential Applications of DLT

While cryptocurrencies may not function effectively as money, underlying technologies like DLT could find applications elsewhere.

For example, permissioned DLT systems can streamline cross-border remittances and reduce transaction costs. The World Food Programme’s “Building Blocks” system in Jordan uses a permissioned blockchain to distribute aid efficiently, cutting costs by over 90% compared to traditional banking.

DLT could also simplify administrative processes in trade finance and automate payments via smart contracts. However, these applications do not require the use of cryptocurrencies themselves.


Policy Implications

The rise of cryptocurrencies presents several policy challenges:

Regulatory Challenges

  1. Anti-Money Laundering (AML) and Counter-Terrorist Financing (CTF): Cryptocurrencies’ anonymity compliance with “know-your-customer” standards.
  2. Consumer and Investor Protection: Digital theft, fraud, and scams are common. Many users rely on unregulated intermediaries, contradicting cryptocurrencies’ decentralized ethos.
  3. Financial Stability: Widespread use of cryptocurrencies and related products could introduce new systemic risks.

Global regulators are working to adapt existing frameworks to address these issues, emphasizing consistency across jurisdictions.

Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs)

A key policy question is whether central banks should issue their own digital currencies. CBDCs could be designed for wholesale (interbank) or general use.

Wholesale CBDCs might improve settlement efficiency but have not yet demonstrated clear advantages over existing systems. General-purpose CBDCs could reshape financial stability, monetary policy, and the banking system—requiring careful design and consideration.


Frequently Asked Questions

What is the main purpose of cryptocurrencies?

Cryptocurrencies aim to provide a decentralized alternative to traditional money, enabling peer-to-peer transactions without central intermediaries.

Why are cryptocurrencies so volatile?

Their supply is fixed by protocol and cannot adjust to demand changes. Moreover, the emergence of new, similar cryptocurrencies adds to price instability.

Can cryptocurrencies replace traditional money?

Due to scalability issues, high energy consumption, and volatility, they are unlikely to replace well-institutionalized currencies.

Are blockchain and cryptocurrency the same?

No. Blockchain is a type of distributed ledger technology that supports cryptocurrencies but also has other applications, such as supply chain tracking or smart contracts.

Is it safe to invest in cryptocurrencies?

The market is highly speculative and prone to fraud and hacking. Investors should exercise caution and ensure they use regulated platforms.

What is a central bank digital currency (CBDC)?

A CBDC is a digital form of central bank money that could be used for retail or wholesale payments. Its design would influence financial stability and monetary policy.


Conclusion

Cryptocurrencies represent a technological innovation with ambitious goals. However, their economic limitations—including inefficiency, instability, and structural fragility—make them poor substitutes for established monetary systems.

While the underlying technology may find niche applications, the promise of decentralized trust remains largely unfulfilled. Policymakers must balance innovation with regulation to ensure safety and stability in the evolving digital landscape.

For those interested in 👉 exploring real-time market tools or learning more about digital assets, staying informed through reliable sources is essential.